Du Plessis – Adesanya H 2.02

FAQ: UFC

This is a divisive tip.

Adesanya took a year off and has bulked up since then.

Explanation: We haven’t seen a good fight from him in years, even when he knocked out Pereira. Not reliable, perhaps the cleanest kickboxer but lacks volume. 3.9 landed strikes per minute compared to Du Plessis’ 6.5 per minute. Those who decide the winner based on who is the better technically universal fighter might choose Adesanya, but Du Plessis is deadly. He has finished almost everyone he faced, except for a split decision win against Strickland. Du Plessis struggled in their last fight, showing signs of fatigue early, but he has the ability to take out opponents with his oversized strikes and kicks. The fight likely ends in 2-3-4 rounds. Adesanya analyzes for the first three minutes before countering, so the first round will likely be experienced, after which Du Plessis might walk into Adesanya’s punches. Adesanya, at 35, has shown acceptance in title fights before, being at a disadvantage on the ground. Du Plessis, at 30, is at his peak. Adesanya needs speed and precision for his style, which diminishes with age. Du Plessis is improving against top fighters. Adesanya needs a strong desire to win against such opponents.

Outcome: Du Plessis won in the fourth round => tip WON!

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