FAQ: Team Olimpia. Women’s team foil.
Justification: The bookmakers underestimate South Korea in this option. Despite the young age and lack of significant achievements of 3 out of the 4 players (Choi Se-bin, Jeon Ha-young, Jeon Eun-hye), 31-year-old Yoon Ji-su stands out, having been part of the 2021 bronze medal-winning South Korean team. Even though their squad has changed significantly, I don’t believe their fencing strength has weakened so much in just 3 years. While Ukraine, France, Hungary, and Japan have stronger teams on paper, South Korea may need to defeat only one of them (France) to compete for a medal. The others are on the same side of the bracket. Despite being the clear favorites in front of their enthusiastic fans at the Grand Palais, considering the unpredictability of women’s team sports, there is greater value in the underdog. South Korea will likely beat the USA and possibly success hinges on a few touches.
Outcome: South Korea won the silver medal at the Olympics => the prediction was correct!