FAQ: Football, Champions League. The prediction implies that Madrid will win with a difference of no more than 1 goal. Recommended stake (bankroll): 2%.
Reasoning: Can Real Madrid lose at home, in the Champions League? Why not, seeing how they lost in Lille with lackluster football (0-1)… It’s also worth considering their performance in the first round, when 10th place Bundesliga team Stuttgart had them cornered in their own penalty box up until the 80th minute… Now after this, they will face Dortmund, a much stronger German team who is leading the current series by 10:1 goal difference and a 100% win rate! Basically, it’s a rematch of last year’s Champions League final, so Borussia will certainly be extra motivated. Additionally, “royals” have injured players: Alaba (center back) and Carvajal (right back), and Courtois (goalkeeper) just recently returned, while Militao (center back) is not in his best form; so there are defense problems for the hosts. Even weaker team Celta managed to create several excellent scoring chances against them during the weekend, and it was only due to Madrid’s luck that Vigo didn’t score at least 2-3 goals… If they make similar mistakes now, the much more talented and seasoned Dortmund attack will heavily punish them. As if this wasn’t enough, Real’s football seems irregular and forced this year. They don’t have suitable players for several positions, and perhaps too many “troublemakers” are having space issue in the team… There are fewer passes, more selfishness, and drama, as the previously well-trained gears are creaking. So Madrid really isn’t at the level right now to beat anyone by 2 or even more goals. My guess: 2-2