FAQ: Tennis, indoor men’s ATP tournament, Paris. The tip interpretation is that Rune wins by at least 3 games difference. Recommended bet amount (bankroll): 2%.
Justification: Arthur Cazaux (85th) surprisingly defeated Holger Runé (13th) 3-1 at the Australian Open in January. However, since then, the French guy has not had such a great season (29 W – 23 L) compared to how he started the year; and also compared to the Danish star’s stats (44 W – 22 L). In addition, considering they are essentially the same age group, Cazaux only has ~ 1/3 of the indoor hard experience that Rune has! This can flip the balance of power today. If this is not enough, Rune can be extra motivated by the fact that there is a theoretical chance to squeeze into the ATP Finals field as a reserve player due to potential injuries / withdrawals, so he surely wants to win. While for the young player on his home court, this can only be a typical pleasure tennis opportunity in front of his own fans, for a little extra money. But if he simply loses, nothing really happens.