Bologna – Monaco (Under 2.5 goals) 1.89

FAQ: Football, Champions League. Recommended stake (bankroll): 1%.

Rationale: Bologna, having lost last year’s successful player, has significantly declined this season. They managed to defeat 2 candidates for relegation in the Seria A in the last two weeks, temporarily climbing up to the top half of the table, but before that, they have hardly won any matches this season… In the Champions League, they have not even scored, and today they will be in a tough situation again. Firstly, because they’ll miss 3 important forwards: Aebischer (main central midfielder), Ferguson (main attacking midfielder), and Cambiaghi (striker); and secondly, because Monaco inherently represents a more robust playing force. Their single piece of luck is that the French roster will not be full either, as among others: Salisu (second center back, 7/1), Zakaria (second most successful player, captain, 11/3) and Balogun (best striker, 8/3) have fallen out, who are all potent footballers. After this, it’s no wonder that the odds for the match-up suggest a pretty evenly balanced wrestling: rationally speaking, neither team has too many goals in them. Moreover, Monaco is mounting up well so far, with 3 rounds in, so maybe they will be satisfied with a tidy draw, as they did a month ago in Zagreb. My tip: 0-0.

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