FAQ: Football, UEFA Nations League. Recommended stake (bankroll): 1%.
Justification: France’s offense suffered a huge blow with the recent retirements from the national team of Giroud (best striker) and Griezmann (3rd best striker), while Mbappé (2nd best striker) has temporarily stepped down. Additionally, Tchouaméni (number 1 defensive midfielder) and O. Dembelé (best winger) are injured, and Camavinga (number 1 central midfielder) has suspended himself. As a result, they need to reorganize almost their entire midfield game. This did not work against Israel, resulting in a 0-0 draw. Traveling to a stronger opponent such as Italy will not be easy after this. Fortunately, the match is already point-free as France could only overtake Italy with a 3-goal or more victory. This is unrealistic, so there is no real pressure to win. However, they are unlikely to be too reckless, as they are of adequate quality in defence (Upamecano, T. Hernandez, Saliba, Koundé, Pavard, Kanté). This considerably rejuvenated Italy can shine these days, but they too have important absentees in offense (Jorginho, Lo. Pellegrini, Berardi, Chiesa, El Shaarawy, Scamacca). Their performance was slightly subdued against Belgium three days ago, having few quality chances. Today, I can especially imagine some rotation among them. I expect a barren struggle. My tip is: 1-0.