FAQ: Grass-court match at Wimbledon.
Rationale: The players have met once before on grass, with Frances Tiafoe (30.) winning that match, and their only previous Grand Slam encounter was closely contested, with Carlos Alcaraz Garfia (3.) emerging victorious on clay. Given the lack of a significant skill gap between the players, I find the American player’s odds of 10.0 exaggerated. Furthermore, despite the Spanish star securing 3-0 victories in the first 2 rounds, his tennis was far from convincing; he came close to dropping sets against both opponents (who are much weaker than Tiafoe). Adding to this, rain is expected at Wimbledon today, so the match will be played under a roof. These changed conditions might favor the American today and could even lead to a surprise result.
Result: Alcaraz won 3-2 => the prediction was CORRECT!