Dobey – van Gerwen (180 throws: over 25.5) 1.82

FAQ: Darts, PDC World Championship. Recommended bet size (bankroll): 1%.

Reasoning: Both parties are considered strong 180 throwers. Chris Dobey (15th) specifically achieved 36 maximums under 102 legs in this tournament, so on average ~one every 2.8 legs! Meanwhile, Michael van Gerwen (3rd) threw 35 of 180 in 91 legs, so on average ~one every 2.6 legs! Which is an even better indicator in the case of the “green monster”. Considering that both parties can achieve ~around 100 average mass with ~40-50% checkout efficiency, this match could easily bring at least 9-10 sets. Then there will be at least 36-40 leg opportunities for the parties to pile up 180s, so roughly 27-29 maximum is expected here statistically. I like the limit offered by the bookmakers, I trust the over.

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Scroll to Top