FAQ: Football, Italian Championship, Serie A. The interpretation of the bet is that Inter will win by a maximum difference of 1 goal, in case of a 2-goal difference, the stake will be refunded. Recommended stake size (bankroll): 2%.
Rationale: Parma has traditionally been a thorn in Inter’s side in recent years, and they are currently not in bad form, so this odd pair seems unrealistic. While the Milan team is a title contender and the dairy company’s team is just a mid-tier team, I would be surprised here by a difference of 2 or more goals. Firstly, Parma is very scoring these days: they scored 1 goal against Atalanta (1-3), 2 against Juventus (2-2), and 3 against Lazio (3-1)! Secondly, Inter continues to play with a tactic that they only aim for the sure 3 points, but they rarely strive to improve the goal difference. Among their successes this year, 7 were only by a 1-goal difference; moreover, they had a hard time with many of the smaller teams (e.g.: Venezia, Monza, Genoa, Torino). Thirdly, the home team has injuries: Pavard (second-choice center-back, 10/0) and Acerbi (center-back, 9/0), thus they will not be invulnerable at the back. After this, I would not be surprised if Parma scored at least once, in which case this positive handicap would particularly favor our position. My tip: 1-1.