FAQ: Football, Brazilian Championship, Seria A Betano. The interpretation of the bet is that in case of a draw, the stake is returned.
Reasoning: I am going against the market here because everyone is likely betting on Juventude winning due to a high number of injuries and suspensions in Cruzeiro team (and the current forms). However! Many people probably forget two factors: that the visitors’ squad is about 4 times more valuable/quality, so they were able to field a reasonably strong/stronger starting team even with 6-7 major absences! Matheus Pereira (attacking midfielder, formerly: West Brom, Sportling Lisbon) and Gabriel Veron (winger, previously: Palmeiras, Porto) are technically proficient and experienced players in Cruzeiro even in this situation, which Juventude, with its small budget and newcomer status, could only dream of… Moreover, the traditionally successful Cruzeiro with big ambitions this year really needs the victory for the next year’s Libertadores Cup, which depends on millions of dollars! On the other hand, Juventude has secured its 1. division status in the last two rounds, so they have achieved their only goal for this season. The opportunity to participate in Coda Südamericana does not motivate them, and they are likely to get it anyway, as their direct rivals are playing against each other in today’s (final round!) matches… So, Juventude can practically relax, this match doesn’t matter to them at all. On the other hand, Cruzeiro comes to a life-and-death battle, they simply can’t lose! In the summer they beat Juventude fairly easily (2-0) at home. I think they can do it today as well. My prediction: 0-1
Final score: 0-2 => WON! 🙂