FAQ: Libertadores Cup.
Reasoning: The teams are performing very differently in their domestic leagues. Libertad is unbeaten after 12 rounds (9 W – 3 D record and a 28:8 goal ratio); while Talleres Cordoba has barely won any matches in the same number of rounds (2 W – 6 D – 4 L record and an 8:9 goal ratio). Moreover, one of their 2 victories was a close one (1-0) against bottom-of-the-table team San Martin. It’s not surprising they fired their coach at the end of March, and they’ve been under the temporary management of a caretaker coach since 5 days ago. Given this, regardless of the Argentinian team’s theoretically stronger squad, I think the Paraguayan team has a better chance of winning. Especially considering the guests’ 4 best center-backs: Portillo, Cardona, Catalan, and J. Rodriguez are all injured! Also unavailable for them are: Galarza (1st defensive midfielder), Mosquera (2nd defensive midfielder), Botta (2nd attacking midfielder) and Rick (most valuable winger). The combined value of the mentioned players is about 19 million euros, which comprises approximately 40% of Talleres’ value, thus causing a significant quality loss. My prediction is: 1-0.
Final result: 2-0 => The prediction WON! 🙂