FAQ: Football, Europa League. The interpretation of the tip is that in case of a draw, the stake is returned. Recommended stake size (bankroll): 2%.
Rationale: The rise in the odds for AZ Alkmaar is totally unrealistic, considering that on paper they have a much stronger team than Ludogorets, and the Dutch do not have any substantial injuries. Only one of their central midfielders (K. Smit) is suspended, but that’s neither here nor there. The home team has much bigger problems, as they cannot count on: Duarte (3rd central midfielder), Nedelev (2nd attacking midfielder) Tekpetey (most valuable winger), C. Vidal (2nd most valuable winger), Nascimento (winger), and Tissera (striker)! The total value of the mentioned players is more than ~ 13 million euros, which makes up ~ 25% of Ludogorets. Moreover, the Dutch, currently only in 19th place, need the victory much more, since the (33rd.) Bulgarians have practically already been eliminated. Therefore, Alkmaar’s motivation is higher. My tip: 0-1